Welcome to the 2023 Sanderson Farms PGA Championship. The PGA Tour is back in full swing, and this year's Sanderson Farms Championship promises to be nothing short of spectacular.Get ready for a high-stakes showdown at the Country Club of Jackson as some of the most formidable golfers on the planet descend upon the course. Notably, five players who secured top-50 finishes in the FedEx Cup standings are slated to compete. Leading the pack is the defending champion, Mackenzie Hughes, who leads the way in the fall rankings.Hughes, who felt overlooked after missing the 2022 Presidents Cup team, channeled that disappointment into a triumphant performance in Jackson, clinching victory in a dramatic playoff against Sepp Straka. Currently positioned at 51st in the FedEx Cup standings, Hughes is well on track to secure a spot in the prestigious first two signature events of 2024. But there's more at stake than just tournament qualifications, as winning the FedEx Cup Fall also guarantees exemptions for major championships - a tantalizing prospect for players like Adam Svensson, Eric Cole, Tom Hoge, and the promising Ludvig Aberg, all already confirmed for next year's signature events.Speaking of Aberg, he's undoubtedly the biggest name in the tournament lineup. Fresh from an impressive 2-point performance at the 2023 Ryder Cup and a victory on the DP World Tour, the 23-year-old phenom is eager to extend his success to the PGA Tour. Although he currently sits at 136th in the FedEx Cup standings, Aberg boasts full status for the 2024 season through the PGA Tour U. However, there's still a compelling reason for him to compete this week.Aberg finds himself on the outside looking in for the PGA Tour's flagship event, the Players Championship, which grants entry to the top 125 players in the FedEx Cup. Additionally, the world No. 80 has yet to secure his invitation to the prestigious Masters. To remedy this, Aberg must either clinch a victory or ascend within the top 50 of the Official World Golf Rankings by year's end, offering a potential journey to Augusta National in April.Intrigue, drama, and intense competition await at the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship, where top players vie for coveted spots in signature events and major championships. Sports bettors, get ready to place your bets and follow the action closely, as this tournament could be a game-changer for both the players and those looking to wager on the thrilling world of professional golf. Don't miss a moment of the excitement as we delve into the Sanderson Farms PGA event for sports betting enthusiasts.The model breakdown for this course is as followsDriving Distance 33%Putting 17%Driving Accuracy 13%Around The Green 13%Approach 23%Since the model was updated before the PGA Championships, it has returned a 51.9% ROI. <table><tr><th>Date</th><th>Tournament</th><th>Total Risk Units</th><th>Total Return Units</th><th></th><th></th></tr><tr><td>18-May</td><td>PGA Championship</td><td>0.193</td><td>-0.193</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>25-May</td><td>Schwab</td><td>0.245</td><td>-0.245</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>1-Jun</td><td>The Memorial</td><td>0.401</td><td>0.655</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>8-Jun</td><td>RBC Canadian Open</td><td>0.461</td><td>-0.461</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>15-Jun</td><td>US Open</td><td>0.381</td><td>0.702</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>22-Jun</td><td>Travelers</td><td>0.313</td><td>-0.313</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>29-Jun</td><td>Rocket Mortgage</td><td>0.57</td><td>0.501</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>13-Jul</td><td>Scottish Open</td><td>0.32</td><td>0.791</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>20-Jul</td><td>The Open</td><td>0.546</td><td>-0.546</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>27-Jul</td><td>Twin Cities</td><td>0.496</td><td>-0.496</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>3-Aug</td><td>Wyndham</td><td>0.381</td><td>0.632</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>10-Aug</td><td>St Jude</td><td>0.258</td><td>0.753</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>17-Aug</td><td>BMW</td><td>0.312</td><td>0.751</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td></td><td></td><td>4.877</td><td>2.531</td><td>ROI</td><td>51.90%</td></tr></table>The emphasis is on the last 24 rounds the golfer has played. These are the best values, not necessarily the best golfers this week. As always, I play these bets to win 1 unit. It limits your risk, which is what we want to do on longshot futures types of bets.To Win<table><tr><th>Golfer</th><th>Odds</th><th>Book</th><th>Units Risked</th></tr><tr><td>Peter Kuest</td><td>7000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.014</td></tr><tr><td>Callum Tarren</td><td>5000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.020</td></tr><tr><td>Ludvig Aberg</td><td>1200</td><td>BetMGM</td><td>0.083</td></tr><tr><td>MJ Daffue</td><td>7000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.014</td></tr><tr><td>Stephan Jaegar</td><td>2000</td><td>BetMGM</td><td>0.050</td></tr><tr><td>Luke List</td><td>5000</td><td>All Books</td><td>0.020</td></tr><tr><td>Davis Thompson</td><td>4500</td><td>All Books</td><td>0.022</td></tr><tr><td>Alex Noren</td><td>6000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.017</td></tr><tr><td> </td><td> </td><td> Total</td><td>0.241</td></tr></table>Here are the top 20 golfers from my model this week in order from best to worst.1. Peter Kuest2. Callum Tarren3. Ludvig Aberg4. MJ Daffue5. Stephan Jaeger6. Nick Hardy7. Kevin Yu8. Luke List9. Kevin Roy10. Davis Thompson11. Kevin Streelman12. Garrick Higgo13. Doug Ghim14. Cameron Champ15. Mark Hubbard16. Alex Smalley17. Alex Noren18. Adam Svensson19. Charley Hoffman20. Seonghyeon Kim

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PGA Sanderson Farms Championship Best Bets Plus Top 20 Model Picks For DFS

We are up 1.5 units for these matches. Let's try to finish strong with some 3 way match bets for the final day of what has been a boring Ryder Cup.MatchupsScheffler +140 3 way line Hovland -120 3 way line Homa +100 3 way line Hojgaard +175 3 way line Lowry +115 3 way line Fowler +180 3 way line Clark -110 3 way line

Ryder Cup USA vs Europe Match Bets Day 3

We had a good day today with our Ryder Cup Match bets going 2-1. Tomorrow we start with foursomes again. Here are the bets I like.MatchupsHoma/Harman +115 3-way Line Cantlay/Schauffele +130 3-way line

Ryder Cup USA vs Europe Match Bets

Our PGA bets have been really successful recently, with wins for the past three weeks. Ever since we made some adjustments before the PGA Championship, the return on investment (ROI) has been an impressive 51.9%!The TOUR Championship is the final event of the 2023 golf season. The top 30 players in the FedEx Cup Standings on the PGA TOUR will go to East Lake in Atlanta, Georgia, for this important tournament. Only 30 golfers are left to compete in the last PGA TOUR event of 2023. The tournament will take place at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. Let's take a look at the odds for the TOUR Championship.Although there are fewer players in this event compared to others this year, we have more information about the East Lake Golf Club course. This will help us understand which players are likely to do well. While not everyone plays here regularly, we have a good idea of the skills needed to navigate this course.East Lake Golf Club is a challenging course that tests many aspects of a golfer's skills. It rewards accurate tee shots and requires a good ability to recover if the green is missed. Doing well here depends on how players perform from tee to green. The course was designed by Donald Ross and is known for its tricky Bermuda greens, which are especially demanding for skilled putters.Because of the small number of players and the unique scoring system, it's not the best situation for golf betting. This week I will play some matchup bets.The model breakdown for this course is as followsDriving Distance 24%Putting 14%Driving Accuracy 24%Around The Green 14%Approach 24%These bets take into account the starting score of the golfers. Unlike a normal tournament, golfers will all have a starting score based on their FedEx points standings. Each book may have different matchup bets so I will give my favorites from each book.Tournament H2H Matchups Void If TiePlay each to win 0.5 unitsDraftkingsSam Burns +125 v Jordan SpiethCorey Conners +100 v Sungjae ImMathew Fitzpatrick +125 v Xander SchauffeleKeegan Bradley +130 v Russell HenleyAdam Schenk -110 v Nick TaylorCaesarsRussell Henly +148 v Xander SchauffeleCorey Conners -120 v Tony FinauMax Homa +135 v Patrick CantlayFanduelAdam Schenk -120 V Nick TaylorBetMGMLucas Glover -105 v Brian HarmanCorey Conners -118 v Tony FinauThe other legal books are only offering individual round bets. I like the full tournament bets more, especially with no cut. If you want to dabble in some R1 use some of the info I have below as far as where guys are ranking in the model.Here are the top 20 golfers from my model this week in order from best to worst. I will add which way they are trending. Up/Down/Flat1. Rory McIlroy (UP)2. Scottie Scheffler (UP)3. Viktor Hovland (UP)4. Lucas Glover (UP)5. Rickie Fowler (FLAT)6. Patrick Cantlay (UP)7. Tommy Fleetwood (UP)8. Wyndham Clark (DOWN)9. Jon Rahm (FLAT)10. Keegan Bradley (FLAT)11. Russell Henley (UP)12. Max Homa (UP)13. Corey Conners (UP)14. Jordan Spieth (FLAT)15. Collin Morikawa (UP)16. Sam Burns (FLAT)17. Tyrell Hatton (FLAT)18. Matthew Fitzpatrick (FLAT)19. Brian Harman (UP)20. Xander Schauffele (UP)

PGA Tour Championship 72 Hole Matchup Bets

With only 50 golfers competing, the FedExCup tournament has moved from Memphis, where Lucas Glover won his second consecutive event and gave us our second consecutive winner, to Chicago. This week the playoffs are in a Chicago suburb called Olympia Fields for the BMW Championship.The Olympia Fields Country Club has a great golf course called the North Course, considered one of the top 50 courses in the United States. This course was designed by Willie Park Jr. in 1923 and has a classic layout with trees and open spaces. It's been changed a bit over time, but the main design and strategy are still the same. The course has hilly areas, narrow fairways, and a creek that winds through several holes.The BMW Championship has usually been played on easier courses in the past decade. Last year, the winner finished with a score of 14-under par, and the year before that, the winner scored 27-under. In seven out of the last 11 championships, the winners scored 20-under or even better.However, Olympia Fields is a different kind of challenge. It's one of players' toughest courses in the last five years. When it was played as a PGA Tour event in 2020, the winner scored just -4, and only five players finished with scores under par. On average, players scored 1.82 strokes over par on this course, making it the fifth most challenging course in that period.The course has thick rough, strategically placed sand bunkers and tricky greens. Players who don't perform at their best will struggle in various ways. It's like a test similar to the U.S. Open, examining all aspects of a player's game. Making bad shots will have serious consequences. Although it was supposed to be firm and fast, recent heavy rains, have softened the course and made it longer.The model breakdown for this course is as followsDriving Distance 28%Putting 17%Driving Accuracy 17%Around The Green 14%Approach 24%Since the model was updated before the PGA Championships, it has returned a 39% ROI. We are risking .312 units this week. The emphasis is on the last 24 rounds the golfer has played. These are the best values, not necessarily the best golfers this week. As always, I play these bets to win 1 unit. It limits your risk, which is what we want to do on longshot futures types of bets.To Win<table><tr><td>Golfer</td><td>Odds</td><td>Book</td><td>Units Risked</td></tr><tr><td>Rory McIlroy</td><td>700</td><td>BetMGM</td><td>0.143</td></tr><tr><td>Viktor Hovland</td><td>1600</td><td>All Books</td><td>0.063</td></tr><tr><td>Rickie Fowler</td><td>3500</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.029</td></tr><tr><td>Lucas Glover</td><td>4000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.025</td></tr><tr><td>Russell Henley</td><td>4000</td><td>Caesars</td><td>0.025</td></tr><tr><td>Keegan Bradley</td><td>6600</td><td>BetMGM</td><td>0.015</td></tr><tr><td>JT Poston</td><td>8000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.013</td></tr><tr><td> </td><td> </td><td> Total</td><td>0.312</td></tr></table>Here are the top 20 golfers from my model this week in order from best to worst.1. Rory McIlroy2. Rickie Fowler3. Scottie Scheffler4. Viktor Hovland5. Wyndham Clark6. Lucas Glover7. Patrick Cantlay8. Jon Rahm9. Tommy Fleetwood10. Tyrell Hatton11. Keegan Bradley12. Justin Rose13. Xander Schuaffele14. Russell Henley15. Jordan Spieth16. J.T. Poston17. Lee Hodges18. Corey Conners19. Max Homa20. Collin Morikawa

PGA BMW Championship

The PGA TOUR starts its 17th FedEx Cup Playoffs. This competition happens throughout the season and ends with the FedEx Cup Playoffs. These playoffs consist of three events that decide the winner of the season. The first event is the FedEx St. Jude Championship. The top 70 players in the FedEx Cup standings (based on their performance up to now) are competing at TPC Southwind. As the playoffs go on, the number of players will decrease &ndash; from 70 to 50 to 30.The players in the FedEx St. Jude Championship aim to advance to the season's final event, called the Tour Championship. In this last event, there's a chance to win a big prize of $18 million. The total bonus money for the FedEx Cup Playoffs is $75 million, and the player who wins the FedEx Cup at the end will get the main share of this money. The points that players earned during the regular season also count for the playoffs.As I mentioned before, the playoffs have a decreasing number of players in each event. The FedEx St. Jude Championship has 70 players, the BMW Championship has 50 players, and the Tour Championship has 30 players. This is where the FedEx Cup Champion will be determined. The current top three players in the standings are Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler, and Rory McIlroy. They're leading before the FedEx St. Jude Championship. Unlike regular tournaments, there won't be cuts to reduce the number of players in the playoffs. Winners of the first two playoff events get a lot of points &ndash; 2,000 points each, which is much more than regular tournaments.TPC Southwind is a classic-style course with trees lining the fairways. It's a par 70 course that measures 7,243 yards. The course is usually firm and known for being a place where players need a good short game, creativity, and imagination. TPC Southwind has become more recognized lately because of its higher status. Some important features of the course include small and firm Bermuda greens with areas around them, a tall and dense treeline that shapes the narrow fairways, and there's water that can be challenging but also offers opportunities for rewards.The model breakdown for this course is as followsDriving Distance 22%Putting 19%Driving Accuracy 19%Around The Green 15%Approach 26%When you have a field like this the longer prices are attached to some really good golfers. We have a bunch to choose from this week. All of them will be played to win the tournament. Let's try and go back to back with winners this week!The emphasis is on the last 24 rounds the golfer has played. These are the best values, not necessarily the best golfers this week. As always, I play these bets to win 1 unit. It limits your risk, which is what we want to do on longshot futures types of bets.To Win<table><tr><th>Golfer</th><th>Odds</th><th>Book</th><th>Units Risked</th></tr><tr><td>Rory McIlroy</td><td>900</td><td>Draftkings</td><td>0.111</td></tr><tr><td>Wyndham Clark</td><td>3500</td><td>Caesars</td><td>0.029</td></tr><tr><td>Rickie Fowler</td><td>3500</td><td>Caesars</td><td>0.029</td></tr><tr><td>Lucas Glover</td><td>9000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.011</td></tr><tr><td>Tommy Fleetwood</td><td>3000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.033</td></tr><tr><td>Russell Henley</td><td>5000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.020</td></tr><tr><td>Keegan Bradley</td><td>8000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.013</td></tr><tr><td>Justin Rose</td><td>8000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.013</td></tr><tr><td> </td><td> </td><td> Total</td><td>0.258</td></tr></table>Here are the top 20 golfers from my model this week in order from best to worst.1. Rory McIlroy2. Scottie Scheffler3. Wyndham Clark4. Rickie Fowler5. Jon Rahm6. Lucas Glover7. Tyrrell Hatton8. Tommy Fleetwood9. Viktor Hovland10. Xander Schauffele11. Patrick Cantlay12. Russell Henley13. Keegan Bradley14. Justin Rose15. Jordan Spieth16. Nick Hardy17. Byeong Hun An18. Lee Hodges19. Adam Schenk20. Denny McCarthy

PGA Fedex St. Jude Championship

This article will be updated throughout the day as I get updates from the sportsbook that I have access to.&nbsp;Each section will be explained below, and the time will be added each time the Sharp Report is updated. You can use this information to make your own picks or tail the hot sections. Historically, Sharp bets, Whale plays, Model plays, and squares have done very well. Keep in mind that this information comes from a sharp / market maker sportsbook, and the squares (public) playing there are more experienced than regular Joe's betting on retail books therefore, you can find success in tailing the public.&nbsp;<img src="http://images.ctfassets.net/i0fx1kvc87e4/3ZwWjCUGZrYPj5zIeE2W46/51c8c5c851b0e863f8eb16ef6706a85d/Screenshot_2023-10-09_084416.png"/>Happy Thanksgiving to all my fellow Canadians. It was one hell of a day for @madnessdfsstaff yesterday going 5-0 in his NFL picks. I only had 1 pick and it was the under in New England. I got lucky in 2 SGP using the Proptimizer, they paid +6000 and +700. I rarely play parlays but I only had 1 bet yesterday therefore I wanted more action. Fading the book in the NFL stole the show again yesterday going 3-1. These bets are 8-1 in Oct and 12-6 in Sept. The NFL model continues to stay hot going 4-0 and 13-5 for the season! The Whale is having a much better start to October than he did in September. He's 13-6 for +260K. I will be breaking down the NFL game in the Bottom Line article. We have 2 baseball games and that's about it. Just an FYI.... the NHL season starts this week and I am very excited about it. Also as of last week, we will have some football to bet on for the next consecutive 50 days!!!GL today!Last update: 1:00 PM (EST) IN PROGRESS&nbsp;<h2>Sharp money plays:</h2>These are plays that the sharp bettors have been betting at the sportsbook. If you see a team in this section, sharp money is on one side of the play. If you see a team being removed throughout the day, it means that sharp money came on the other side.MLB:CFB:MEMPHIS +3 10/13 7PMWISCONSIN UNDER 39 10/14 4PMTENNESSEE UNDER 57.5 330PMAPPALACHIAN STATE UNDER 63.5 10/10 730PMAKRON +13 10/14 330PMTEXAS TECH -1 10/14 7PMNFL:GREEN BAY OVER 45 BUFFALO UNDER 47CLEVELAND UNDER 41.5CHICAGO UNDER 49.5DETROIT -3TENNESSEE +4NBA/WNBA:OKC UNDER 225.5BROOKLYN OVER 223SAN ANTONIO +5NHL:PITTSBURGH -224 10/10EDMONTON -165 10/11TORONTO UNDER 6.5 10/10<h2>Sportsbook liabilities:</h2>Updated around 4 pm, in this section, you will find the top plays that the book will cheer for since they took large sums of money on the opposite teams. I know the house always wins; however, this info comes from a sharp book, and these plays have been the most consistent when they are faded, especially when there is no public interest on the other side.MLB:ARIZONA +133CFB:NOTRE DAME -1 10/14 730PMMIAMI FLORIDA +3.5 730PMFLORIDA STATE -17.5 12PMUMASS +43 330PMSAM HOUSTON STATE +4.5 10/11 9PMNC STATE +3.5 8PMNFL:JACKSONVILLE -4.5CINCINNATI -3BALTIMORE -4CLEVELAND +5CAROLINA +14NBA:SAN ANTONIO +4.5<h2>Square top positions:</h2>It is a strategy to bet against the public however as mentioned above, these regular joes are pretty good. In this section, you will find picks on which the public is heavy. This section is updated around 4 pm, the time to be able to gather enough data throughout the course of the day.MLB:LA DODGERS -152CFB:LIBERTY -6 10/10COASTAL CAROLINA +6 10/10FIU +1 10/11NEW MEXICO STATE -4 10/11SYRACUSE +17.5 10/14NORTH CAROLINA -4 10/14DUKE -3.5 10/14AUBURN +11.5 10/14OHIO STATE -17 10/14NFL:INDIANAPOLIS +4.5TENNESSEE +3.5SF -4.5MIAMI -14DETROIT -3HOUSTON +2.5NBA/WNBA:BROOKLYN +4.5 <h2>Whale plays: </h2>The whale is one of the biggest bettors at the sportsbook. He's a sharp bettor with high betting limits and is highly respected. MLB/NFL:ATLANTA OVER 8 30URAIDERS ML -128 35U<h2>The top model plays:</h2>This section covers all the highest EV plays straight from my NHL, NBA, and MLB modelsMLB/NFL:PACKERS +2GOOD LUCK TODAY Join <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games

Sharpreport

Find out the best sharp bets, book liabilities, model plays and public heavy positions. 

The Sharp Report for October 8, 2023

<h5>Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8% to 10% on totals. In the age of big data and advanced analytics, sports predictive models have become an indispensable tool for bettors and sports enthusiasts alike. These models, often powered by sophisticated algorithms and vast amounts of data, aim to forecast the outcome of sports events with a higher degree of accuracy than human intuition alone. But while they offer numerous advantages, they also come with their own set of limitations.</h5>Advantages of Sports Betting Models:<ol><li>Data-Driven Decisions: One of the primary benefits of using predictive models is that they base their predictions on hard data. This means that instead of relying on gut feelings or biases, bettors can make informed decisions based on historical performance, player statistics, and other quantifiable metrics.</li><li>Identification of Value: Predictive models can help bettors identify potential value in bets. If a model predicts a different outcome than the odds provided by bookmakers, there might be an opportunity for a value bet.</li><li>Consistency: Human judgment can be inconsistent, swayed by emotions, recent events, or personal biases. Predictive models, on the other hand, are consistent in their approach, evaluating every game based on the same set of criteria.</li><li>Efficiency: With the ability to process vast amounts of data quickly, these models can evaluate numerous variables and scenarios in a fraction of the time it would take a human.</li></ol>Limitations of Sports Betting Models:<ol><li>Unpredictable Variables: As the saying goes, &quot;sports are unpredictable.&quot; There are countless variables that a model might not account for. For instance, what a player did the night before a game, sudden illnesses, or personal issues can significantly impact their performance but might not be reflected in the model.</li><li>Weather Impact: While some models might factor in general weather conditions, the nuanced effects of weather on outdoor sports can be challenging to predict. A sudden gust of wind or a brief downpour can change the dynamics of a game in ways a model might not foresee.</li><li>Over-reliance: There's a danger in becoming too dependent on models. Bettors might ignore their own knowledge or insights about a game, thinking the model knows best. This can lead to missed opportunities or misguided bets.</li><li>Model Accuracy: No model is perfect. Even the most sophisticated predictive models can and do get predictions wrong. It's essential to understand that these are tools to aid decision-making, not guarantee outcomes.</li><li>Data Limitations: The accuracy of a model is only as good as the data it's fed. If there's a lack of comprehensive data or if the data is outdated, the model's predictions can be skewed.</li></ol>While sports predictive models offer a more systematic and data-driven approach to betting, they are not infallible. They serve best as a guide, complementing a bettor's own knowledge and insights. It's essential to balance relying on the model and understanding its limitations, ensuring that bets are placed not just on numbers and algorithms but also on a comprehensive understanding of the game.NFL BETTING MODEL FOR WEEK 6, 2023<img src="http://images.ctfassets.net/i0fx1kvc87e4/55XlvsLR4jTm8QQDfrFkSI/8be7cb675a546d37e9383e8be2e6ede0/Screenshot_2023-10-09_143548.png"/>Week 5 isn't even finished and we jump straight into week 6. We have a lot of big lines in week 6. The movement has been crazy also. Starting off with the Titans, these cats had the odds-makers on their toes, swinging the pendulum from a 5-point cushion down to that ever-crucial 3-point mark. Feels like some folks have been listening to whispers in the alley, doesn't it?Now, the Falcons, typically the underdog darlings, are suddenly the belle of the ball. My model's been sweet on them for a while, and it seems the market's finally catching the fever. Their odds shifted from -1 to -2.5, and between you and me? I wouldn't be shocked if that number creeps up even closer to -3.Ah, the Vikings. Just thinking about that under 8.5-win bet makes me a tad giddy. Call it personal, but watching them take a tumble in Chicago would be the cherry on top. And guess what? The wind seems to be blowing in the Bears' direction, with the line tightening from +4.5 down to +3.Speaking of momentum, Chase&rsquo;s on-field heroics yesterday are making ripples in the betting pool. The line's been nudged from -1, peaking at -2.5. Talk about a player's impact!Over in Cleveland, we're poised for what should be a defensive masterclass. The Niners' line danced all the way from -2.5 to -5.5, only to shuffle back to -4.5. My money's on it settling around -4 by kickoff.Houston's scene? Well, it's a head-scratcher. The Saints are getting too much respect, got bumped from +1 to a rather generous -1.5, even touching -2.5. If that line hits +3 for Houston, you bet I'm diving in.The Jags, fresh off their London sojourn and that statement win against the Bills, are in for a rough welcome from the Colts. The market seems to be hedging bets against Jacksonville, but remember, they're just one game away from making us all look foolish.Miami's big swing from -10.5 to a whopping -14 just screams 'proceed with caution'. Those massive spreads can be a bettor's nightmare, and Week 6 seems riddled with them.And the Pats? Let's just say there's a collective sigh of disappointment in the air. From an even matchup, they've fallen behind, with Vegas shifting the scales to -3.The Rams, even with Kupp in their arsenal, faltered against the Eagles. But redemption looms as they square off against the Cardinals. With the line moving up from -4.5 to -6, the jury's still out on this one.Last but certainly not least, the Bills. After that heartbreaker, their line's been more volatile than a caffeine-addled day-trader. It's been hopping around more than a rabbit in spring!As of Monday, the model's top bets for Week 6 are:<ul><li>Seattle over 46</li><li>Niners -4.5</li><li>Jaguars -4</li></ul>Stay tuned, folks. I'll be back with updates on Thursday!Good luck in week 6

Anthony P's NFL model 

Here are my weekly projections for the NFL

Anthony P's NFL Model and PR for Week 6, 2023

Val&rsquo;s Big Payday Parlay, pays +1110Atlanta Braves -1.5 +138The Braves look to get back into this series tonight when M. Fried takes on Z. Wheeler on the mound, both have pitched well this season and this game will definitely have a playoff feel to it. Since coming off the IL at the beginning of August, the Braves have won 8 of 9 games Fried has started with 6 of the 8 wins by multiple runs. He also easily outpitched Wheeler in a game on Sept 12th in a 7-6 win. Wheeler has pitched 3 times versus the Braves this season pitching well twice and getting blown up in the game versus Fried previously mentioned. I like the Braves to even up this series tonight. Arizona DBacks +140The Dodgers starting rotation was nothing special heading into the postseason outside of C. Kershaw. With the fact that he got blown up in G1, you really have to wonder if the Dodgers will blow another successful season and exit early. With the injuries to W. Buehler &amp; T. Gonsolin, the domestic issues for J. Urias you don't have to be a genius to know that the Dodgers are in trouble here. The DBacks have their ace on the mound in Z. Gallen and are tearing the cover off the ball, I will back them as a dog here. Green Bay Packers +2 -106We have a Monday night football game between the Packers and Raiders tonight. The Packers enter this game at 2-2 while the Raiders are 1-3 having lost 3 straight since winning in Week 1. I'm really starting to question J. McDaniels head coaching abilities as his career overall record is now 18-31 and he's made several questionable play calls and clock management decisions over his stints with the Broncos and Raiders. Allegiant Stadium will be packed with Packer fans tonight and I like the Packers to bounce back from their bad loss to the Lions last week, I think they will win this straight up but will take the 2 points as insurance. Join the Sharp App and use code val20 for a discounthttps://sharp.appJoin <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @mtlkid any questions you have on other games

Val’s Big Payday Parlay Oct 9th 2023

In this column, I&rsquo;ll go through the BEST BET I&rsquo;m seeing in the league today; this can be in a spread, a moneyline, an Over/Under, or a player prop. I&rsquo;ll explain my reasoning below, and even add in a couple of other picks I also like for today.&nbsp;If you have any questions, hit me up in the Discord, linked below, and be sure to add a PRO SUBSCRIPTION to your daily routine to maximize your best bets, no matter the sport.&nbsp;PLAYOFF RECORD: 2-1, +0.83uRECAP: I&rsquo;ve been pretty selective when it comes to bets over these MLB Playoffs, to be honest. My last article failed miserably as Eflin decided to get absolutely pummeled into the ground, but tonight I see a bet that I like, and our Sharps also like. Let&rsquo;s dive into it. October 9, 2023PICK:&nbsp;Diamondbacks/Dodgers o8While this bet can be a little deceiving on paper, the over has been hammered by our Sharp bettors, and I agree with their takes that these bats will bounce back; I see an expected total of 8.75 runs scored, and that&rsquo;s why I&rsquo;m going to hammer the over in this pivotal game two between these Division rivals.&nbsp;While this past game was a bloodbath on the side of the Diamondbacks, I don&rsquo;t anticipate that much of one-sided affair tonight; truthfully, there&rsquo;s a decent chance that this is a close, 5-4 game - which would still put us over that total.&nbsp;The Dodgers are starting Bobby Miller tonight, and there&rsquo;s no way that he lasts the full five or six innings that a starter would; he&rsquo;s probably being used more as an opener than anything. The last time he faced the DBacks, he was shelled for four runs and seven hits; but he&rsquo;s found his form throughout his last few starts, giving up a few runs per game and going anywhere from 4-7 innings. This is the playoffs though, and a rookie starting in the biggest game of his life? I&rsquo;d lean against fading it, even if he&rsquo;s only going for a few innings.&nbsp;On the other side, we have the grizzled veteran in Gallen, who surprisingly hasn&rsquo;t really been in spots like this before. He dominated in his first game of the playoffs against a lowly Brewers offense, but that actually has been far from the norm against this Dodgers team, who he was shelled by twice this year, most recently in August, where he gave up six earned runs over five innings. And while his ERA looks good, his xERA over his past month has actually suggested that he should be getting hit harder; I expect this offense to find the holes in Gallen&rsquo;s game.&nbsp;While we&rsquo;ve focused a lot on these pitchers, also keep in mind that these offenses are hot. The Diamondbacks are scorching right now, and the Dodgers threw in the towel on offense after one inning; both of these teams are going to be juiced up for this must-win game.&nbsp;That&rsquo;s the crazy part about this series, that this game feels like an absolute must-win for both sides. These bats are going to be hot out of the gate, and expect a couple of lead-changes throughout. Let&rsquo;s ride the bats, and take the over. Join the conversation for free in our Discord server or sign up to get PRO ACCESS using the following link: <a href="https://sharp.app/sharp-pro-sports-betting-tools?ref=mdk0mtqm&coupon_id=tY57Ir0m" title="">Mitch S</a>Join <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @MitchS any questions you have on other games!

In this column, Mitch goes through the BEST BET he's seeing in Major League Baseball today.

Mitch's MLB Bet of the Day | October 9, 2023

<h5>We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8% to 10% on totals. In the age of big data and advanced analytics, sports predictive models have become an indispensable tool for bettors and sports enthusiasts alike. These models, often powered by sophisticated algorithms and vast amounts of data, aim to forecast the outcome of sports events with a higher degree of accuracy than human intuition alone. But while they offer numerous advantages, they also come with their own set of limitations.</h5>Advantages of Sports Betting Models:<ol><li>Data-Driven Decisions: One of the primary benefits of using predictive models is that they base their predictions on hard data. This means that instead of relying on gut feelings or biases, bettors can make informed decisions based on historical performance, player statistics, and other quantifiable metrics.</li><li>Identification of Value: Predictive models can help bettors identify potential value in bets. If a model predicts a different outcome than the odds provided by bookmakers, there might be an opportunity for a value bet.</li><li>Consistency: Human judgment can be inconsistent, swayed by emotions, recent events, or personal biases. Predictive models, on the other hand, are consistent in their approach, evaluating every game based on the same set of criteria.</li><li>Efficiency: With the ability to process vast amounts of data quickly, these models can evaluate numerous variables and scenarios in a fraction of the time it would take a human.</li></ol>Limitations of Sports Betting Models:<ol><li>Unpredictable Variables: As the saying goes, &quot;sports are unpredictable.&quot; There are countless variables that a model might not account for. For instance, what a player did the night before a game, sudden illnesses, or personal issues can significantly impact their performance but might not be reflected in the model.</li><li>Weather Impact: While some models might factor in general weather conditions, the nuanced effects of weather on outdoor sports can be challenging to predict. A sudden gust of wind or a brief downpour can change the dynamics of a game in ways a model might not foresee.</li><li>Over-reliance: There's a danger in becoming too dependent on models. Bettors might ignore their own knowledge or insights about a game, thinking the model knows best. This can lead to missed opportunities or misguided bets.</li><li>Model Accuracy: No model is perfect. Even the most sophisticated predictive models can and do get predictions wrong. It's essential to understand that these are tools to aid decision-making, not guarantee outcomes.</li><li>Data Limitations: The accuracy of a model is only as good as the data it's fed. If there's a lack of comprehensive data or if the data is outdated, the model's predictions can be skewed.</li></ol>While sports predictive models offer a more systematic and data-driven approach to betting, they are not infallible. They serve best as a guide, complementing a bettor's own knowledge and insights. It's essential to balance relying on the model and understanding its limitations, ensuring that bets are placed not just on numbers and algorithms but also on a comprehensive understanding of the game.MLB BETTING MODEL FOR OCT 9, 2023<img src="http://images.ctfassets.net/i0fx1kvc87e4/2WmNycwVV9r8cLrPc0LV5F/41446b18795b9c6e351bdba003594736/Screenshot_2023-10-09_085939.png"/>As the dust from the weekend games starts to settle, there's a vibe in the air suggesting that underdogs might just be this year's playoff darlings. The Rangers and Twins have already set the tone, leaving everyone on the edge of their seats, wondering if we might see a few more dark horses pull ahead today.The Braves, historically a powerhouse, are in a tight spot, and though my gut says they've got the goods to level the series, the Phillies, with their grit and grind, give me pause. Max Fried, the Braves' ace, has been throwing gas all season, posting a stellar 8-1 record and a 2.55 ERA over 14 starts. But dig a little deeper, and you see some cracks when he faces the Phillies&mdash;like that last home game where Philly touched him up for 6 runs, albeit only 4 earned. But here's the deal: Atlanta's bats are due to awaken. They led the regular season in runs, and getting shut out in game one? That's not their style. With Zack Wheeler on the bump for Philly, and his recent shakiness against the Braves in mind, Atlanta's bats might just find their groove.Meanwhile, over in L.A., the Dodgers are back against the ropes after a surprise defeat. But trust this: they ain't sweating it too much. Zac Gallen, Arizona's starter, has had a rough go against the Dodgers, surrendering a slew of runs in their earlier matchups. And let's chat about the Dodgers' own Bobby Miller. The kid has been lights out against the D-Backs, holding them to a mere 4 runs over 12 innings. The Dodgers, seasoned and battle-tested, know the stakes. After a lackluster game one, expect them to come out swinging, with both their bats and Miller's arm sending a clear message.I'm looking for the Braves to fire on all cylinders, with Fried silencing his recent Philly demons, and their bats lighting up the scoreboard. Over in the City of Angels, expect the Dodgers to show why they're perennial contenders, with Miller dealing and their bats doing the heavy lifting against Gallen.Good luck today!Join <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games and get 20% off for life with promo code anthonyp20

MLB MODEL 

Anthony P's MLB Model October 9, 2023

The Bottom Line article will lead us in making the right call on high-profile games. I will cover TNF, SNF, and MNF. I will also cover big baseball games, the NBA, and the NHL. Heading into Week 5's finale, I'm keeping my hopes in check, praying for a game that delivers some on-field fireworks. The betting world has been on a roller coaster with this matchup. After initially opening the Raiders a 1-point favorite, the scales tilted heavily towards the Packers, pushing them to a 1.5-point fav. But as the football gods would have it, a surge of bets on the Raiders when the Packers got to -2 brought things back to even ground. The bookies were probably biting their nails, wishing for some love towards the Packers, but alas! The pendulum swung further towards the Raiders, making them 2-point favorites. As things stand, the Raiders are pocketing 58% of the handle, but the ticket distribution? Dead even. The atmosphere might be electric, but the Raiders seem to have caught themselves in a bit of a gridlock. Their defense against the pass has been anything but tight, and facing Jordan Love, who currently holds the second-worst Completion Percentage Over Expectation, might just be their saving grace. Despite Love's shaky stats, notably under duress, the Raiders can't sleep on the Packers, especially with the potential return of Jimmy Garoppolo. And let's be real: Garoppolo's numbers, especially in the interception department, don't exactly inspire confidence. The dude's been tossing more gifts to the defense than a Santa in a bad mood.But let&rsquo;s steer away from the QB drama for a sec and talk ground game. The Packers' defense against the rush is like a dam with way too many cracks. Last week alone, David Montgomery of the Lions bulldozed through them, racking up 121 yards and a hat-trick of touchdowns. Enter Josh Jacobs of the Raiders, who&rsquo;s been itching for a breakout game. The stars seem aligned for Jacobs to run rampant against the Packers' porous defense.But before you think this is a one-sided affair, let's hit the brakes. The Packers, with a 10-day break, are getting their squad back in form. Aaron Jones is off the pitch count. Wideout Christian Watson, fresh off his return, has already made his presence felt in the end zone. If Elgton Jenkins and Jaire Alexander suit up, the Raiders might be in for a long night. It's a potential slugfest where Green Bay's depth and coaching prowess could tilt the scales.However, looking at recent form and stats, the Raiders have been skating on thin ice. Three consecutive losses don&rsquo;t bode well for morale. The Packers, on the other hand, have their issues but seem to be the more cohesive unit.In terms of the total, if you're thinking high-scoring affair, you might want to reconsider. Both QBs aren't in the best of forms, with Garoppolo's turnovers and Love's conservative play. The defenses, despite their flaws, might just have a field day. Recent trends show the Raiders going under in three of their four games, and the Packers' offense hasn&rsquo;t exactly been lighting up the scoreboard either.The Bottom Line: Navigating through the fog of stats, trends, and performance, the Packers seem to have the edge. The Raiders, despite their home advantage, are grappling with too many questions on both ends of the field. Green Bay, with a slightly steadier ship and the potential return of key players, might just clinch this on the road. Would you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP20 and get 20% off for life.Join <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games

MNF: Packers at Raiders

In an exciting National League Division Series matchup, the Los Angeles Dodgers will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks on October 9, 2023, at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers, as the home team, will be looking to bounce back after a tough loss in their last game against the D-Backs.The Dodgers are projected to start right-handed pitcher Bobby Miller, who is ranked as the #37 best starting pitcher in MLB according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings. Miller has had a solid season, starting 22 games with an impressive 11-4 win/loss record and a 3.89 ERA. However, his projections for this game are not favorable, as he is expected to pitch an average of 4.5 innings, allow 2.1 earned runs, strike out 4.4 batters, and give up 4.3 hits and walks.On the other side, the D-Backs will send right-handed pitcher Zac Gallen to the mound. Gallen is ranked as the #27 best starting pitcher in MLB and has had a great season, starting 34 games with a 17-9 win/loss record and a 3.47 ERA. However, his projections for this game suggest that he may not perform as well as his numbers indicate, with an expected average of 4.9 innings pitched, 2.8 earned runs allowed, 4.6 strikeouts, and 4.9 hits and walks.The Dodgers offense has been one of the best in MLB this season, ranking #2 in overall performance. However, their performance in the last game was disappointing, losing to the D-Backs with a score of 11-2. The D-Backs offense, on the other hand, has been average, ranking #17 in overall performance.In terms of betting odds, the Dodgers are the favorite with a moneyline of -160 and an implied win probability of 60%. The D-Backs, as the underdog, have a moneyline of +140 and an implied win probability of 40%. The Sharp Model X projects the Dodgers as the favorite with a win probability of 59%.Based on the current odds, the Dodgers have a high implied team total of 4.42 runs, while the D-Backs have a low implied team total of 3.58 runs. The Sharp Model X projects the Dodgers to score an average of 5.20 runs in this game, while the D-Backs are projected to score 4.57 runs.<h2>Diamondbacks Insights</h2><ul><li>The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams today.</li><li>Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% &mdash; 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.</li></ul><h2>Dodgers Insights</h2><ul><li>Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Bobby Miller is projected to throw 74 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (The Sharp Model X) system, which is the least of the day.</li><li>Max Muncy is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Arizona (#1-best of all teams on the slate today).</li><li>The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup projects as the 2nd-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill.</li></ul><h2>Betting Trends</h2><ul><li>The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 79 of their last 136 games (+23.95 Units / 15% ROI)</li><li>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 63 of their last 118 games (+11.35 Units / 9% ROI)</li><li>Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+6.80 Units / 22% ROI)</li></ul>

ari-vs-lad-october-9-2023-13f81

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - October 9th, 2023

The Atlanta Braves will welcome the Philadelphia Phillies to Truist Park on October 9, 2023, for an exciting National League Division Series matchup. As the home team, the Braves will have the advantage of playing in front of their home crowd.On the mound, the Braves are projected to start their ace left-handed pitcher, Max Fried. Fried has been exceptional this season, boasting a record of 8 wins and 1 loss with an impressive ERA of 2.55. He is considered one of the elite starting pitchers in the league, ranked as the 3rd best according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings.Opposing Fried will be Zack Wheeler, the Phillies' talented right-handed pitcher. Wheeler has had a solid season, with a record of 13 wins and 6 losses and an ERA of 3.61. According to our Power Rankings, Wheeler is ranked as the 5th best starting pitcher in MLB.In their previous matchup, which was the first game of the series, the Braves took the victory. However, the Phillies will be looking to bounce back and even the series in this crucial second game.The Braves have showcased their offensive prowess throughout the season, ranking as the best team in MLB in various categories. They hold the top spot in team batting average and team home runs, emphasizing their dominant hitting lineup. On the other hand, the Phillies have a strong offense as well, ranking 6th in MLB.The bullpens of both teams also play a crucial role in this matchup. According to our Power Rankings, the Phillies have the 3rd best bullpen in MLB, while the Braves sit at an average ranking of 17th.Based on the current odds, the Braves are considered the favorites with a moneyline of -155 and an implied win probability of 59%. The Phillies, as underdogs, have a moneyline of +135 and an implied win probability of 41%.It is important to note that while the Braves have a high projected team total of 4.39 runs based on the current odds, The Sharp Model X projects both teams to score 0.00 runs on average in this game, which is a low projection.<h2>Phillies Insights</h2><ul><li>Zack Wheeler has been given an above-average leash this year, recording 9.2 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.</li><li>Kyle Schwarber is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Atlanta (#1-worst of the day).</li><li>The Philadelphia Phillies (22.9% K% (per the leading projection system, The Sharp Model X) are forecasted to have the most strikeout-prone team of batters of all teams on the slate.</li></ul><h2>Braves Insights</h2><ul><li>The leading projection system (The Sharp Model) forecasts Max Fried in the 85th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.</li><li>The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his weak side (0) today against Zack Wheeler</li></ul><h2>Betting Trends</h2><ul><li>The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 79 of their last 140 games (+13.65 Units / 9% ROI)</li><li>The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 116 games (+10.25 Units / 6% ROI)</li><li>Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+12.35 Units / 23% ROI)</li></ul>

phi-vs-atl-october-9-2023-e3056

Phillies vs Braves Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - October 9th, 2023

Val&rsquo;s Big Payday Parlay, pays +1190Baltimore Orioles -1.5 +184The Orioles looked a little out of sorts yesterday after having not played in close to a week, not that they got that stinker out of the way I expect them to get back to normal today. It will be J. Montgomery versus G. Rodriguez on the mound, both starters have really pitched well of late with Montgomery shutting down the Rays in the Wild Card round and over his last 4 starts of the season. Rodriguez has been equally good over his last 5 starts and you would have never thought he'd be part of the post season rotation in late July early August. However, he's turned things around and has been one of their best starters down the stretch. I like the O's to even up this series in a big way today.Houston Astros -1.5 +148The Astros showed the Twins yesterday that they're still a force to be reckon with in the AL with their 6-4 win. Neither of todays starters in P. Lopez and F. Valdez has pitched versus their opponent this season, but there is one thing that we know and that is that F. Valdez is money in the post season, last year he was 3-0 with a 1.44 ERA in 4 starts and 3-1 with a 1.88 ERA in 4 starts in 2020. The Twins will realize again today that beating the Astros is a series will be much more difficult than taking out the offensively challenged Blue Jays. I like the Astros by multiple runs here. Atlanta Falcons -145The Falcons host the Texans off 2 straight losses where their offense has looked terrible scoring a combined 13 points. The NFL is an unpredictable beast that slaps you in the face when you think you have a team figured out. The Texans have won 2 straight, winning on the road in Jacksonville and dismantling the Steelers at home. Now they go on the road versus a Falcons team that has looked horrible and you'd expect them to win a third straight. I like the Falcons to use B. Robinson a whole lot today to take advantage of the Texans run defense that allows over 100 yards rushing a game and that also allows 3rd down conversions at a 62% clip. Give me the Falcons for a straight up win. Join the Sharp App and use code val20 for a discounthttps://sharp.appJoin <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @mtlkid any questions you have on other games

Val’s Big Payday Parlay Oct 8th 2023

In this column, I&rsquo;ll go through the BEST BET I&rsquo;m seeing in the league today; this can be in a spread, a moneyline, an Over/Under, or a player prop.If you have any questions, hit me up in the Discord, linked below, and be sure to add a PRO SUBSCRIPTION to your daily routine to maximize your best bets, no matter the sport.&nbsp;OVERALL RECORD: 16-11, +4.20uRECAP: This past weekend was a smash, the Giants were then bad, and then we absolutely smashed on Thursday night with our parlay. I have a play for every single game today, but you can only get those with PRO access - I&rsquo;ll give you one, though! October 8, 2023PICK:&nbsp;New Orleans Saints/New England Patriots u39.5This is a battle of the New&rsquo;s around the NFL, and it promises to be a snoozer, between these two inept offenses and these two defenses that have been really steady to start the season.&nbsp;The Saints are 4-0 when it comes to the Under, and the Patriots are 3-1 when it comes to the Under. That means that they&rsquo;re probably primed for an over here at some point, but it isn&rsquo;t going to come today - in fact, the Saints haven&rsquo;t hit an over in ten straight games. Think it's just a trend? Think again, as this team is a perennial under machine.&nbsp;And they&rsquo;re led by Derek Carr, who just last week, completed 23 passes - that&rsquo;s pretty good - but for 127 total yards. That&rsquo;s 3.7 yards/attempt, and I don&rsquo;t see much of an end in sight, especially today when he takes on this Patriots defensive front, who is THIRD BEST in Yards/Attempt. Derek Carr, or Jameis Winston, or whoever is going to be behind center, is going to be in for it today.&nbsp;This defense stops the runs as well, and the Saints are supposed to be a highly-effective rushing team. Despite their loss big last week, the Patriots can stop bad teams - we&rsquo;ve seen them do it already in the Jets - but they also stop good teams, like the Eagles and Dolphins.&nbsp;But this Patriot offense is a joke, and the Saints defense is its calling card. Both of these defenses are top-ten, but you could even argue that the Saints are the better defense - they&rsquo;re allowing just over 300 total yards per game, and are allowing the fourth-worst QBR - the QB&rsquo;s they play really struggle against them. They force turnovers and are only allowing 19 points per game so far this season, well below league-average. Demario Davis, Pete Werner, and Marshon Lattimore are absolute dogs when it comes to tackling, too - there just won&rsquo;t be a ton of first downs in this game, so I hope the punters are ready.&nbsp;This game could be a snoozer, and I&rsquo;m fully ready for it. Take the Under, and let&rsquo;s cash in on these teams being stifled by these two elite defenses.Join the conversation for free in our Discord server or sign up to get PRO ACCESS using the following link: <a href="https://sharp.app/sharp-pro-sports-betting-tools?ref=mdk0mtqm&coupon_id=tY57Ir0m" title="">Mitch S</a>Join <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @MitchS any questions you have on other games!

In this column, Mitch goes through the BEST BET he's seeing in the NFL today.

Mitch's NFL Bet of the Day | October 8, 2023

<h4>I hand-select the best plays from the Top Props section of the App. I typically avoid yardage props as they are the hardest to forecast.</h4><table><tr><th>Player</th><th>Team</th><th>Stat</th><th>Proj</th><th>Prop</th><th>O/U</th><th>Juice</th><th>Book</th><th>Edge</th><th> At Worst </th></tr><tr><td>Chris Moore</td><td>TEN</td><td>Receptions</td><td>1.9</td><td>2.5</td><td>U</td><td>-125</td><td>BetMGM</td><td>14.80%</td><td>-150</td></tr><tr><td>Alexander Mattison</td><td>MIN</td><td>Receptions</td><td>2.23</td><td>3.5</td><td>U</td><td>-175</td><td>BetMGM</td><td>17.70%</td><td>-240/u2.5 -105</td></tr><tr><td>Travis Kelce</td><td>KC</td><td>Receptions</td><td>6.41</td><td>7.5</td><td>U</td><td>-139</td><td>Caesars</td><td>10.40%</td><td>-140</td></tr></table>Good Luck!

Top Props - NFL October 8, 2023

Sunday the Buffalo Bills (3-2) will battle the New England Patriots (1-4).

buf-vs-ne-october-22-2023-e3b77

Bills vs Patriots Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - October 22nd, 2023

<h5>We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.</h5><h5>This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-court advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.</h5><h5>Would you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP and get 1 month free or Join our free <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> server and ask @anthony p any questions you have.</h5>WNBA BETTING MODEL FOR OCT 8, 2023<img src="http://images.ctfassets.net/i0fx1kvc87e4/4hg1kJCEw873GAQRjlu331/004a4a298c561ac2142f91e3cf0f8a3c/Screenshot_2023-10-07_082200.png"/>It's the kind of Sunday where the gridiron usually takes center stage, but the WNBA is dishing out some hardwood drama of its own. With the NFL serving up a tantalizing menu of games, the timing of the WNBA finals at 3 pm might not be the most fortunate. But for those in the know, there's a captivating narrative unfolding on the court.First off, let's talk shop. The line for game one of the finals hasn't wavered much, but we've seen a slight dip in the total, from 172.5 to 171. Interestingly, despite this drop, the over's got 70% of the handle. As for picking sides? Well, it's a coin toss with a 50-50 split, though the Liberty has snatched up 55% of the tickets.The New York Liberty are chasing ghosts from the past. Established in '97, they're still on the hunt for that elusive first title, despite dancing in the finals four times. Their last appearance? A sweep at the hands of the LA Sparks in 2002. But this season, with a roster that arguably rivals any opponent, the Liberty is looking to mirror the success of the Las Vegas Aces, who clinched their inaugural title last year.The Liberty's offseason maneuvers, particularly roping in veteran forwards, seem to be paying off. With heavy hitters like Breanna Stewart and Jonquel Jones in the mix, there's ample room for their star guard, Sabrina Ionescu, to work her magic. The results are in the numbers: The Liberty lead the league in 3-point shooting, draining 37.4% from downtown. In the playoffs, Ionescu's been fire, hitting 43.2% from beyond the arc, with teammate Betnijah Laney not far behind at 43.8%. And Jonquel Jones? She's been a beast, averaging a double-double with 16.5 points and 12.8 boards a game.But don't sleep on the Aces. A'ja Wilson is, in a word, dominant. Named the WNBA's Defensive Player of the Year, she's swatting away 3.2 shots a game and, on the flip side, dropping 25.8 points and snatching 11.2 rebounds each outing. And she's not alone. Chelsea Gray and Kelsey Plum have been instrumental, chipping in with 16 points apiece in the playoffs. ATS, the Aces are sitting at 3-3, with just one of their playoff games eclipsing the total.So, where's the smart money in this clash of titans? Historically, the Liberty has had the Aces' number, even nabbing the Commissioner's Cup from them. But game one? That might be a different story. With the Las Vegas crowd roaring in anticipation of another final, the Aces might just have that extra push to not only snag the W but also cover the spread.MODEL Bets: Anthony's picks: Aces -4.5Good luckWould you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP20 and get 20% off for life.Join <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games.

Anthony P's WNBA Model October 8, 2023

<h5>We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.</h5><h5>This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-court advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.</h5><h5>Would you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP and get 1 month free or Join our free <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> server and ask @anthony p any questions you have.</h5>WNBA BETTING MODEL FOR SEPT 29, 2023<img src="http://images.ctfassets.net/i0fx1kvc87e4/4XD6djVz5qEEUTiiMqF8cP/3377d1f0d4c564763d360c746dcf636c/Screenshot_2023-09-29_090931.png"/>Betting on the WNBA playoffs is always an exciting affair, especially for sports enthusiasts looking to make some dough. But here's the catch: unlike other major sports, the WNBA doesn't attract a ton of action. So what does this mean for those looking to place a wager? Well, it means that at the drop of a hat, or even just a sharp sneeze, the line could move. But before you jump the gun, remember that betting limits for WNBA are notoriously low. So even if the line does shift, it doesn't necessarily indicate a flood of money coming in on one side.Let&rsquo;s take a quick journey into the depths of the recent matchups, starting with the Sun and the Liberty.Connecticut Sun vs New York LibertyThe Mohegan Sun Arena is all set to witness an epic showdown as the New York Liberty and Connecticut Sun face off in Game 3 of the WNBA semifinals. The Liberty, having lost just three games since July 30th, are looking to build on their momentum with back-to-back wins. On the flip side, the Sun, who&rsquo;ve lost five home games since the same date, managed to pull a win in Game 1 with a convincing 78-63 scoreline. But New York came back swinging in Game 2, securing a 7-point victory and leveling the series.Now, let's talk numbers. The Liberty, offensively, has been on fire this season, averaging 89 points on 46% shooting. But their defense is where they truly shine, allowing a mere 79 points per game. Sabrina Ionescu, leading the Liberty's charge, averages 18 points, shooting a cool 41.8% from the floor. Connecticut, however, faced some defensive hiccups in Game 2, giving up a whopping 84 points. Their offensive performance wasn't much to write home about either, with less than 40% shot accuracy. Tiffany Hayes, though, emerged as the silver lining, pouring in 30 points.From a betting standpoint, the Liberty have been favored in this series, and it's no-brainer why. They've got the stats and the form. However, if you're seeking value, the Sun might just be your pick. With their stellar defensive record this year and their solid performance against the Liberty in Game 1, backing the Sun to cover the spread as underdogs seems like a wise move. As for the total, the under is my lean. Las Vegas Aces vs Dallas WingsOver at the College Park Center, the Las Vegas Aces, and Dallas Wings are gearing up for their own Game 3 showdown. The Aces, looking to sweep their way into the WNBA finals, have been pretty dominant, losing just five games since July 9th. Dallas, meanwhile, is desperately seeking a win to force a Game 4.The Aces, with their smoking-hot offense, averaged close to 93 points during the regular season. And even in the playoffs, they're not far off, averaging 90 points. Their defensive game is equally impressive, consistently allowing only 74 points. Majestic A'ja Wilson, leading the Aces, averages a magnificent 23 points and 9.5 rebounds. The Wings, however, seem to be flapping in distress, averaging just 83.5 points in this series and letting in a staggering 94 points in the first two games.The Wings might be tempting given they're playing at home and their season's survival is at stake. But here's some straight talk: the Aces have been ballin' in this series. They're the superior squad. I thought the Wings offense would have played better and could have matched with the Aces but it's not the case. While the heart might root for the Wings to keep the basketball drama alive, the brain says back the Aces to cover the spread. And for total points? I looking at going over the projected total and for the Wings to give it their best offensive performance of the series. MODEL Bets: Anthony's picks: Good luckWould you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP20 and get 20% off for life.Join <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games.

Anthony P's WNBA Model September 29, 2023

<h5>We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.</h5><h5>This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-court advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.</h5><h5>Would you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP and get 1 month free or Join our free <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> server and ask @anthony p any questions you have.</h5>WNBA BETTING MODEL FOR SEPT 26, 2023<img src="http://images.ctfassets.net/i0fx1kvc87e4/1gMW532jVzQr2T8SkwLGdG/62d469fc3d2b397cfa4da391b600bd88/Screenshot_2023-09-26_084121.png"/>Reflecting on our previous predictions, I had reservations about the model's inclination towards the over in the Connecticut game, and my skepticism was validated. The Sun's victory in New York by a 15-point margin was a curveball that took everyone by surprise. While we anticipate a resurgence from New York, the current betting trend leans toward the Sun, capturing 60% of the wagers. The handle stands evenly split. The Suns started at +8 and have now shifted to +9. In Las Vegas, the line remains steady at -10.5. Notably, there's been a significant shift in the total at Circa, moving from 175.5 to a more ambitious 176.5Let's dive deep into the heart of the WNBA action. We've got two fiery matchups on the horizon: Connecticut Sun vs. New York Liberty and Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Aces. If you've been sleeping on the WNBA, it's time to wake up and smell the potential winnings.Starting with the Sun and Liberty, the stakes are high. The Sun, having clinched a win in the first game, are looking to double down and take a 2-0 series lead. But don't count the Liberty out just yet. Despite their recent loss, they've been on a hot streak since late July. The Sun's defense was the star of the show in game one, holding the Liberty to a mere 63 points. Dewanna Bonner, the Sun's ace, dropped 20 points, proving once again why she's a force to be reckoned with. On the flip side, the Liberty, one of the WNBA's offensive powerhouses, had an off day. But with players like Brina Stewart, who netted 19 points in the last game, they're bound to bounce back. Given the recent trends and stats, I'm leaning towards the Connecticut Sun to cover the spread. But remember, in the world of sports betting, anything can happen.Switching gears to the Wings vs. Aces matchup, the Aces are riding high after their 97-83 victory. The Wings, however, are desperate for a win to even the series. In their previous face-off, the Wings' defense left much to be desired, but their offense, led by Satou Sabally, showed promise. The Aces, on the other hand, are on a mission. Anything less than a title will be a disappointment for them. A'ja Wilson, their top player, is in stellar form, having scored 34 points in the last game. Given the Aces' home advantage and their recent performance, they're the favorites. But with the Wings' potential and the number of points on offer, I'd back the Dallas Wings to cover the spread.In conclusion, whether you're a seasoned bettor or a newbie, these matchups offer some tantalizing opportunities. The Sun and the Aces might be the favorites, but the Liberty and the Wings are no pushovers. MODEL Bets: Connecticut +9Anthony's picks: Good luckWould you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP20 and get 20% off for life.Join <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games.

Anthony P's WNBA Model September 26, 2023

<h5>We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.</h5><h5>This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-court advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.</h5><h5>Would you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP and get 1 month free or Join our free <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> server and ask @anthony p any questions you have.</h5>WNBA BETTING MODEL FOR SEPT 24, 2023<img src="http://images.ctfassets.net/i0fx1kvc87e4/4JiF05IvYOkBhgPior9eOV/29bbe784596a763e6d7d6391881967f7/Screenshot_2023-09-23_214029.png"/>The playoffs are heating up, and if you're not paying attention, you're missing out on some prime betting action. So, let's break down a couple of matchups that have caught my eye, and maybe, just maybe, we'll find some value where others are sleeping.First off, let's talk Dallas. I've been saying it since the playoffs started: if there's a team that can go toe-to-toe with the offensive juggernauts of New York and Las Vegas, it's the Dallas squad. These cats are putting up video game numbers, averaging close to a Benjamin per game in the playoffs. And it ain't just volume; they're efficient too, shooting a scorching 50.7% from the field and 37% from beyond the arc. Now, Vegas has been stingy on defense, allowing just 80 points per game during the regular season and clamping down even harder in the playoffs, holding opponents under 65. The total for this game is sky-high, and while some might shy away, I'm leaning into it. No value? Maybe. But sometimes you gotta trust the eye test, and my eyes are telling me this game is gonna be a barnburner.Now, let's pivot to Connecticut. I've seen a lot of chatter about the over, but let me pump the brakes for a second. In the last six head-to-head matchups, four have gone under, and not just by a smidge. We're talking a 14-point margin, folks. That's not chump change. The two games that did go over? One barely squeaked by, and the other needed overtime to get there. This is the playoffs, where defense tightens up and every possession counts. I'm expecting a grind-it-out affair between these two teams, and I wouldn't be surprised to see the first game go under.MODEL Bets: Connecticut over 163Anthony's picks: Vegas over 174.5Good luckWould you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP20 and get 20% off for life.Join <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games.

Anthony P's WNBA Model September 24, 2023

<h5>We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.</h5><h5>This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-court advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.</h5><h5>Would you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP and get 1 month free or Join our free <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> server and ask @anthony p any questions you have.</h5>WNBA BETTING MODEL FOR SEPT 20, 2023<img src="http://images.ctfassets.net/i0fx1kvc87e4/4IAt0XhgUKLhnBok7RX7NG/391704b61f7f03ac49444ecddb8f3b5f/Screenshot_2023-09-20_153815.png"/>In the model we trust!! It was a nice cover with Washington yesterday! Tonight we have one game but there is not much value available. The line opened at -5.5 and it hasn't moved at the book. Some books are posting a -5 while some markets are have moved to -6. In the thrilling world of WNBA playoffs, the Connecticut Sun and the Minnesota Lynx are set to clash in a decisive Game 3. This showdown comes after the teams split the first two games of their opening round series, setting the stage for a nail-biting finale.The Sun, after a dominant 90-60 victory in the series opener, faced a setback with an 82-75 loss in the subsequent game. Alyssa Thomas, with her impressive 26-point performance, emerged as the standout player for Connecticut in that defeat. However, the Sun's recent track record suggests they might have the edge going into this crucial game. They've been impressive against the spread (ATS), boasting a 15-5-1 record when playing with 2 days of rest. On the flip side, their road game performance has been a bit shaky, with a 1-3-1 ATS in their last five outings.The Lynx, meanwhile, have shown resilience by bouncing back from their heavy defeat in Game 1 to level the series. Their victory on the road was commendable, and it positions them as intriguing underdogs as they head home. However, their recent ATS stats, especially a 1-5 record following 2 days of rest and a 2-6 record against Eastern Conference teams, might raise some eyebrows among bettors.While the Lynx deserve accolades for their spirited comeback, the Sun, based on their overall performance and consistency, seem to have the upper hand. They've triumphed in 4 of their 6 recent encounters with the Lynx, showcasing a more consistent offensive prowess. In a game of this magnitude, experience often plays a pivotal role. The Sun, with seasoned players like DeWanna Bonner, Alyssa Thomas, Tiffany Hayes, and Rebecca Allen, have the depth and expertise to rise to the occasion. Expect Bonner to lead the charge, capitalizing on her vast playoff experience to steer her team to victory.While the Minnesota Lynx have shown grit and determination, the Connecticut Sun, with their blend of talent and experience, are poised to clinch the series. As the two teams lock horns in this decisive game, bettors and fans alike can anticipate a riveting contest that epitomizes the excitement of WNBA playoff basketball.MODEL Bets: NoneAnthony's picks: Connecticut -5.5Good luckWould you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP20 and get 20% off for life.Join <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games.

Anthony P's WNBA Model September 20, 2023

<h5>We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.</h5><h5>This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-court advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.</h5><h5>Would you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP and get 1 month free or Join our free <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> server and ask @anthony p any questions you have.</h5>WNBA BETTING MODEL FOR SEPT 19, 2023<img src="http://images.ctfassets.net/i0fx1kvc87e4/EhzC4qMSpzM7qkFj2d0WA/2c4437dc306e7a71f203109b92ced526/Screenshot_2023-09-18_215825.png"/>The New York Liberty&rsquo;s victory in game 1 by 15 points not only set the tone for game 2 but also showcased their dominance in recent times. New York, entered game 2 as a -10.5 favorite after closing at -9.5 in game 1. Their track record, having lost merely 2 games since July 30, seems to have strongly influenced the betting market. A staggering 85% of both the handle and tickets are confidently banking on New York to continue their winning streak.But the sports world loves an underdog story, and the Washington Mystics might just script one. Facing the imminent threat of packing up for the season, the Mystics are under intense pressure to force a decisive game 3. Historically, their road game statistics of 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road encounters don't particularly infuse confidence. Contrastingly, the Liberty are flying high on confidence. They boast of a commendable 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and an impressive 11-5 ATS in their recent 16 outings.However, dismissing the Mystics would be premature. One should remember that Mystics aren't your run-of-the-mill seventh seed team. There's an underlying belief that the Mystics can rebound from their recent setback. Having had some time to regroup, re-strategize, and analyze their game 1 performance, one can expect a rejuvenated team, especially considering they are now healthier than they've been for a while. And while the Liberty have been stellar, their record as 10.5-point favorites or more stands at a slightly shaky 7-9.Concluding thoughts? If the Mystics can channel their first-quarter vigor from the last game and maintain it throughout the match, they not only have a chance to cover but might also surprise many by flipping the narrative. Alright, while I wouldn't recommend going all out with a moneyline bet on this game, I do anticipate a better and more consistent performance from Washington.MODEL Bets: Washington +10.5Anthony's picks: Good luckWould you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP20 and get 20% off for life.Join <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games.

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The Sharp Report for October 8, 2023

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